THE 100 REPORT
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Decoding Congressional Maps
Every 10 years, maps are redrawn based on the census data and used to determine how many House seats each state gets…impacting which party controls Congress or which candidates get elected in state and local races.
Missouri currently has 8 congressional districts and is fighting over how “Republican - Democrat” seats should be divided. We need to send every possible Republican to D.C. to fight Biden politics, especially as blue states are heavily gerrymandering and working to remove Republican seats/add Democratic seats.
When we talk about a 7-1+R map or 6-2+R map the +R shows you which political party has more seats and the number is represented in the first number show (7 seats in this case). The second number is the number of the opposing political party (in this case, Democrats, 1 seat).
To get the full picture, state by state, see this article.
Governor Parsons Supports a 7-1 or Strong 6-2 Map
Listen here to his remarks on the Marc Cox show.
New Missouri State House Map Unanimously Approved By Bipartisan Commission
The bipartisan commission gave final approval to a new set of House maps this week. Now how districts are set going into 2022 without having to go to the courts. The Senate districts will be drawn by a panel of judges since the senate commission was unable to come to an agreement. The House maps have several more competitive districts. It’s the first time since 1966 that the map was unanimous, and the first time since 1980 that the commission, not courts, drew the map.
There are eight GOP incumbents that are drawn together under the new map: Peggy McGaugh (HD 39) and Rusty Black (HD 7); Suzie Pollock (HD 123) and Jeff Knight (HD 129); Bruce Sassmann (HD 62) and Jeff Porter (HD 42); and Derek Grier (HD 100) and Bruce DeGroot (HD 101)
You can read more about the maps and process here.
Quarter 4 2021 Report: State Senate
Here are the fourth-quarter filing reports for state Senate in 2021. You can scroll across the tables to see the total contributions, expenditures, and more for each PAC. Data provided by the Missouri Ethics Commission. View the totals here.
Quarter 4 2021 Report: PACs
Here are the fourth-quarter filing reports for political action committees in 2021. You can scroll across the tables to see the total contributions, expenditures, and more for each PAC. Data provided by the Missouri Ethics Commission. You can view the list here.
Senator Onder, Rep. Shaul Debate the Merits of the Proposed Congressional Map at Event Held in St. Louis
The St. Louis Young Republicans hosted Senator Onder and Rep. Shaul to discuss the proposed congressional map. Shaul handled the house process and passed the 6-2 map, Onder has been a vocal opponent of Shaul’s map and has continued calls for the 7-1.
Onder said this week in the Missouri Legislature was “one of the worst weeks in Missouri history,” decrying what he says were lies told about the redistricting process and a 7-1 map that failed on the House floor. He said another “failure” of the map was not redrawing the 1st congressional district to be more favorable to a “less insane Democrat than Cori Bush.”
“It comes down to one thing: Missouri is a red state that voted for Donald Trump by 15 points. Number two: We have Republican supermajorities in … the Senate and the House. And number three: We have a Republican governor,” Onder said. “Do we want to send more liberal Democrats who will support Nancy Pelosi’s anti-gun, anti-life, anti-election integrity, pro-socialist radical agenda, or do we want to send more pro-life Republicans, pro-gun Republicans, Republicans who will support Donald J. Trump’s ‘make America great again’ agenda?”
Read the full coverage of the event here.
Opinion: Ranked Choice Voting Wrong for Missouri
By Rep. Nick Schroer
Yet again, an out-of-state interest group funded by liberal money has come into our state and is using a process that is supposed to be citizen-led — the initiative petition process — to instead try to force Missouri to adopt a law that would hurt our state: ranked choice voting.
Ranked choice voting is designed specifically to reduce the impact of political parties’ core supporters and benefit moderate candidates who do not accurately reflect party views but have broad across-the-aisle appeal. For a state like Missouri that is voting more conservative every election cycle, this means we would not get candidates who truly reflect the will of the people. Instead of true conservatives who pursue innovative policies in line with our state’s ideals, we would get middle-of-the-road, do-nothing candidates who win solely because of their blandness, matched up against similarly-bland Democrats who would not reflect that party’s remarkable turn toward the radical left.
Ranked choice voting is also prone to producing unexpected outcomes. In 2018, Democrat Jared Golden was sent to Congress to represent Maine and declared the victor over incumbent Republican Bruce Poliquin, despite Poliquin receiving more votes. Because neither candidate received 50 percent of votes in the first round, the votes received by third-party candidates were redistributed to voters’ lower-ranked choices, giving Golden the win without him receiving even a plurality of first-choice votes.
Voter confusion is also a serious problem that can produce outcomes that do not reflect the political will of the electorate. Many voters do not rank other choices, which can result in individuals receiving a “majority” of votes that only reflects a small segment of voters. For example, in a Board of Supervisors race in San Francisco in 2010, the winner received 4,321 votes, but 9,608 ballots cast had been thrown out due to “exhaustion” — they included votes only for candidates who had not made it through previous rounds of ballot counting and were thus not included in future counts. This means a candidate won the election despite more than twice as many people specifically casting votes against them.
I do not think anybody can argue that a result like this reasonably reflects the will of the people, and I fear something similar could happen in Missouri if the ranked choice voting petition passes.
Supporters of ranked choice voting point to Republican domination of Missouri’s elections as a reason to adopt the system, reasoning that “more competition” automatically means better choices for voters. However, this ignores the fundamental reason that Republicans are winning here — we more accurately reflect the ideals of Missourians, while the Democratic Party has drifted further to the left. For the past several election cycles, their slate of candidates has expressed ideologies more reminiscent of Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez or Bernie Sanders than Jay Nixon or Chris Koster, and yet they appear to be at a loss to explain why they cannot win elections. If Democrats want to be competitive, they need to take a close look at what the people of Missouri really want, not leverage out-of-state interest group money to game the system in their favor.
ICYMI:
Eigel Launches Petition for 7-1 Republican Map - You can sign to support here.
Petition to Remove Caleb Rowden from Senate Majority Floor Leader - To support, you can sign and also call your Senator.
The 100 Newsletter is intended to be a conservative review of the most up to date, inside information of what is going on in Missouri Politics and does not reflect an endorsement of any campaign or committee. We provide tips, articles, op-eds, updates, and event opportunities based on the most up-to-date happenings in state and federal government. Please feel free to submit your tips and suggestions to be included in the newsletter to Ellie@the100pac.com or Brett@victoryenterprises.com
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