THE 100 REPORT
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-- Jim Lembke, Director of The 100 PAC
Voter Guides For August 2nd Primary Election
Bev Ehlen, State Director for Concerned Women for America, and other conservative activist have put together a voting guide for the following counties:
Recommendations for Camden County
Recommendations for Cape Girardeau
Recommendations for Cole County
Recommendations Franklin County
Recommendations for Gasconade County
Recommendations for Greene County
Recommendations for Jackson County
Recommendations for Jefferson County
Recommendations for Laclede County
Recommendations for Miller County
Recommendations for Morgan County
Recommendations for St. Charles County
Recommendations for St. Louis County Part 1
Recommendations for St. Louis County Part 2
Recommendations for St. Louis County Part 3
Recommendations for St. Louis County Part 4
Recommendations for Warren County
10 GOP Primaries That Could Shape The Missouri Senate Next Year
For much of the last two years, the Missouri Senate has been mired in Republican infighting. On one side is GOP leadership, who have struggled to advance a legislative agenda despite controlling 24 of the chamber’s 34 seats. On the other is the conservative caucus, which spent most of the 2022 legislative session throwing up procedural roadblocks and grinding the chamber to a halt. Whether or not this dynamic will continue into the future could very well be decided next Tuesday, when voters head to the polls to cast their ballots in the primary election. While there are Democrats filed in seven of the 10 contests, the districts in past elections have been solidly Republican, making the primary winner likely to prevail in November. Both sides of the Senate fight have lined up behind candidates in key GOP primaries across the state. Joining the fray this year is Missouri Right to Life, the state’s largest anti-abortion organization, which threw in its lot with the conservative caucus and decided to endorse challengers to incumbent Republicans in several primaries. And the battle lines aren’t always so clear. In most races, the candidates differ little on the issues. In one, a candidate has won support from both sides of the Senate divide. Here are 10 Republican primaries that could decide the fate of the Missouri Senate next year.
Continue reading here.
July ’22 Tip Sheet: State Senate
Let’s review the current state of the senate with two weeks out.
Here is today’s state of play: Rowden Republicans: 16 – Senate Democrats: 10 – Eigel Republicans: 7 – Senator Wieland: 1
Of the 17 coming back the senate looks like: Senate Democrats: 7 – Rowden Republicans: 5 – Eigel Republicans: 5
There were two elements placed into the ‘22 cycle: 1. The supporters of Senator Eigel have actively engaged in running primary challengers to incumbent senators & 2. The Right Path PAC which when formed was understood to be a push back on the conservative caucus. Well #1 has been very successful in continuing the war on Rowden republicans while #2 thus far really hasn’t done much of anything to change the ultimate dynamic of the next senate. There are more competitive primaries than ever before. It’s an impressive continuation of war from session. However, if the Rowden republicans are just going to just take it over and over and over and over, you can’t really blame anyone for continuing to dish out the punishment.
MOScout/Remington Senate 20 Poll
Survey conducted July 23 through July 26, 2022. 303 likely 2022 Republican Primary Election voters participated in the survey. Survey weighted to match expected turnout demographics for the 2022 Republican Primary Election. Margin of Error is +/-5.5% with a 95% level of confidence. Totals do not always equal 100% due to rounding. Survey conducted by Remington Research Group on behalf of Missouri Scout. See the full results here.
Q1: The candidates in the August 2nd GOP Primary for Missouri State Senate District 20 are _: If the election were held today for whom would you vote?
Curtis Trent: 42%
Brian Gelner: 29%
Undecided: 29%
Q2: The candidates in the August 2nd GOP Primary for Missouri State Auditor are _: If the election were held today for whom would you vote?
David Gregory: 25%
Scott Fitzpatrick: 40%
Undecided: 35%
Q3: The candidates in the August 2nd GOP Primary for US Senate are _: If the election were held today for whom would you vote?
Eric Schmitt: 27%
Billy Long: 20%
Eric Greitens: 11%
Vicky Hartzler: 21%
Mark McCloskey: 5%
Dave Schatz: 2%
Someone else: 8%
Undecided: 7%
Q4: Would you consider voting for an Independent candidate for US Senate, if your preferred candidate doesn’t win?
Yes: 42% Your Account
No: 31%
Not Sure: 27%
AFP for Eggleston, Coleman, Trent
Source MO Scout
Americans for Prosperity are running digital ads in support of several Republican state senate candidates. According to a recent Missouri Ethics Commission filing, here’s who they’re supporting… $6,400 supporting Rep. J Eggleston running in Senate 12. $5,000 supporting Rep. Curtis Trent running in Senate 20. $4,100 supporting Rep. Mary Elizabeth Coleman running in Senate 22.
Kansas Primary Delivers Advertisements With Humor, Merciless Attacks And Clashing Styles
State treasurer candidate Steven Johnson opened his campaign by mocking his reputation as a nerdy-accountant-type state legislator with a commercial featuring gigantic ball-of-fire explosions and an absurd ninja preparing for combat against high taxes. “I’m Steven Johnson,” the Republican from central Kansas told prospective voters in that ad. “My consultants said I needed some exciting ads. Well, here’s some exciting stuff I’ve done.” He rattled off a series of legislative policy that he supported and asserted those reforms would save Kansas taxpayers billions of dollars. He closed his unusual introductory 30-second spot by pulling on a cowboy hat and vowing to protect tax dollars as state treasurer. “This ad is one of the all-time best in Kansas history, no joke. I’ve watched, viewed and archived over 1,200 ads,” said Bob Beatty, a political science professor at Washburn University. “Relatively recently, candidates have become much more conservative with a small ‘c’ and a little wary of the funny ad. But Johnson has gone all in. Because he’s the only one running a fun ad, it stands out.”... Kobach, winner of two statewide races for secretary of state, offered a full-throated ad that blamed Democrats for crime, inflation and illegal immigration before pivoting to Warren. “Now, we find out Kellie Warren donates to the Democrats,” Kobach’s ad says. “As attorney general, how can we ever trust her to protect our values?”
Read full article here.
Education Becomes A Winning Issue For Republicans
Source: Unleashed Prosperity Hotline
We’ve said it many times on these pages; this is the school choice moment. Parents – especially minority parents – are clearly revolting against lockdown governors, school boards, and their teacher union overlords. The new poll by Morning Consult of battleground states shows that for the first time in anyone's memory, Democrats have lost the trust advantage they had with voters on education. Democrats had a 15-point edge on that question as recently as 2020. Now the GOP has a 4-point advantage. With parents, the margin is 9 points and with minorities, the gap has increased by 10 points as parents revolt against school lockdowns, mask mandates, and "woke" classroom learning. (Only 25% of high school kids are required to take American history!) The pandemic exposed for all to see that the government-run schools are for the teacher unions, not the kids.
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The 100 Newsletter is intended to be a conservative review of the most up to date, inside information of what is going on in Missouri Politics and does not reflect an endorsement of any campaign or committee. We provide tips, articles, op-eds, updates, and event opportunities based on the most up-to-date happenings in state and federal government. Please feel free to submit your tips and suggestions to be included in the newsletter to Ellie@the100pac.com
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